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Kriptovalyuta sohasidagi ayiq bozori tubiga yetgan bo‘lishi mumkinligi haqidagi baholashlar ko‘payib borar ekan, Fidelity Investments tahlilchilaridan e’tiborga molik tahlil chiqdi.
Kompaniyaning Global Makro direktori Jurrien Timmerning ta’kidlashicha, Bitcoin narxining $60,000 darajasigacha tushishi va ilgari u bashorat qilgan qo‘llab-quvvatlash zonasiga tegishi ayiq bozori tubi shakllanishining ehtimoliy signali bo‘lishi mumkin.
Timmer X ijtimoiy tarmog‘idagi bahosida Bitcoin’ning so‘nggi pasayishi texnik jihatdan muhim qo‘llab-quvvatlash hududi bilan to‘qnash kelganini va bu yangi kengayish siklining boshlanishi bo‘lishi mumkinligini aytdi. Tahlilchiga ko‘ra, Bitcoin yetilishi davom etar ekan, narxning o‘zgaruvchanligi bosqichma-bosqich kamayadi va bu yanada tuzilgan va barqaror o‘sish tendensiyasiga yo‘l ochadi. Taxmin qilinishicha, bir necha oy konsolidatsiyadan so‘ng yangi bull bozor sikli boshlanishi va narx yana tarixiy maksimal darajalarga intilishi mumkin.
Timmerning grafik tahlilida Bitcoin narxi va global pul massasi o‘rtasidagi yorqin korrelyatsiya ajratib ko‘rsatilgan. $60,000 darajasi ham makroiqtisodiy, ham texnik tahlil nuqtai nazaridan muhim chegaradir. Tahlilchining aytishicha, ushbu hudud bozorning uzoq muddatli tuzilmasi uchun mustahkam asos bo‘lib xizmat qilishi mumkin.
Boshqa bir grafikda, “Bitcoin’ning Yetilishi Yo‘li” deb nomlangan tahlilda, aktivning tarixiy to‘lqin tuzilmasi ko‘rib chiqilgan. $2 va $24 kabi dastlabki cho‘qqilardan $64,000 dan yuqoriga o‘tishgacha bo‘lgan jarayon tahlil qilinadi, va modelning oltinchi to‘lqin proyeksiyasi $290,425 ni ko‘rsatadi. Timmerning uzoq muddatli ramkasi, makroiqtisodiy o‘zgaruvchilar va qabul qilinish egri chiziqlarini hisobga olgan holda, Bitcoin uchun $1 milliongacha cho‘ziluvchi nazariy yetilish yo‘lini belgilaydi.
Tahlilchiga ko‘ra, agar tsiklik naqshlar va global qabul qilish tendensiyalari davom etsa, Bitcoin $60,000 atrofida konsolidatsiyadan so‘ng yanada tartibli va strukturaviy o‘sish bosqichiga kiradi. Ushbu stsenariy kripto bozorida yangi kengayish davrini boshlab berishi mumkin.
