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The Strait of Hormuz has become the central battlefield of the Iran conflict. Recently, a small number of oil tankers and liquefied natural gas vessels have passed through, seemingly with Tehran’s consent, but these account for only a tiny fraction of the approximately 140 ships per day before the conflict. The global market remains tense and fragile.Three VLCCs (Very Large Crude Carriers) transported about 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude to Asia last week. Qatar also shipped its first two cargoes of liquefied natural gas since the outbreak of war, sold to Pakistan under intergovernmental agreements. Sources said Iran approved these cargoes to help build confidence with Qatar and Pakistan.More crucially, Iran is beginning to decide who can use the strait, rather than simply determining whether it is open or closed. This arrangement could last longer than the current conflict and sow the seeds for the next, with Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE wary of any system where Tehran decides which cargoes enter the global market. The United States is also unlikely to tolerate a solution that grants Iran such broad political and economic influence.If the stalemate persists, it will evolve into a new conflict. Even if a ceasefire agreement is reached, this Iran-led selective passage model could remain in place. Confrontation between Tehran and Washington—and potentially with Gulf countries—is increasingly likely. The essence of this conflict has now become a core issue: Who controls the Strait of Hormuz?

Glonhui May 12｜Amazon: Launches 30-minute delivery service for thousands of groceries and daily essentials. The current delivery fee for members is $3.99, and for non-members it is $13.99. Amazon plans to expand its US customer base to tens of millions by the end of the year.

In the early morning, a major player on an exchange offloaded BTC, selling $25.48 million at market price. The selling pressure overwhelmed the market in an instant, and BTC subsequently pulled back by more than 1.6%. It is worth noting that after the concentrated transactions by the major player, AiCoin promptly pushed a PRO exclusive alert, and the signal has now been realized. Special reminder: Tonight at 20:30 (UTC+8), the United States will announce April CPI data, which may impact short-term market trends. At that time, it will be important to closely monitor market price transactions of major players (on a certain exchange) during the US session. If there is a concentration of sweeping orders or market sales/purchases exceeding $10 million, the market rhythm could change. Many people only react after the candlestick chart says so, but major transactions often occur ahead of the chart. Tonight, stay tuned to the AiCoin PRO "large transaction" indicator for real-time tracking of major fund movements.