The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 88.6%.

The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in August is 88.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 11.4%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates until September is 36.3%, with a 57% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut and a 6.7% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.