「BTC OG Insider Whale」 Agent: Ceasefire More Bearish, Unprecedented Two-Week Resolution of the Most Heated Debate in History

BlockBeats News, April 12th, "BTC OG Insider Whale" agent Garrett Jin posted, stating that a ceasefire is a sugar-coated poison. Why does a ceasefire make us more bearish rather than more optimistic? The market is trading on the logic that a brief ceasefire will evolve into lasting peace. But we believe the probability of this is less than 10%. The reason is that Iran's conditions are incompatible with US demands, no ceasefire terms were met within 24 hours, and there has never been a precedent in history where a conflict of this scale could be resolved with just a two-week pause. The actual probability may be even less than 10%.