VanEck: The market is pricing in a more sustained oil price shock, and stocks may prove relatively resilient

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汇通财经2026/04/13 00:36

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VanEck Associates Corp. stated that after Trump ordered the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude oil prices soared, indicating that investors’ doubts about a US-Iran ceasefire have deepened, and they are increasingly pricing in a more lasting oil price shock.
VanEck cross-asset strategist Anna Wu pointed out that the market is beginning to believe that the oil price shock is no longer a short-term disruption, but a medium- to long-term scenario—oil prices may “remain at higher levels for a longer period.”
This oil price rebound is more like a technical rebound; previously, following the announcement of the ceasefire, oil prices once plummeted by 17% in a single day.
Against this backdrop, as the market adapts to a new price range, equities could prove more resilient.
This dynamic is similar to how investors previously responded to tariff risks: first there is a concentrated “repricing,” and then, after the worst-case scenario is absorbed, risk factors gradually fade into “background noise.”

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VanEck: The market is pricing in a more sustained oil price shock, and stocks may prove relatively resilient

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