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Daily Gold Commentary | Bulls Hold Slight Advantage in the Short Term

Daily Gold Commentary | Bulls Hold Slight Advantage in the Short Term

新浪财经新浪财经2026/05/14 06:32
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By:新浪财经

On the fundamentals, the latest data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the wholesale price increase in the U.S. for April has significantly exceeded expectations, not only reaching its highest level since 2022, but also further intensifying financial market concerns about the persistence of inflation. Against the backdrop of global geopolitical turmoil triggering energy fluctuations, the trajectory of U.S. inflation faces new uncertainties.

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) growth rate for April surged to 6% year-on-year, surpassing all economists’ expectations surveyed by Bloomberg and marking the largest monthly increase in nearly two years. Excluding the more volatile food and energy sectors, the core PPI rose 5.2% year-on-year in April, recording the strongest performance in over three years.

Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates have intensified again, with yields on U.S. Treasuries generally rising across all maturities. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury increased by about 2 basis points, reaching 4.49%, the highest level since July last year. Investors are widely concerned that if wholesale energy and logistics pressures do not ease, companies will inevitably pass on higher costs to end consumers to hedge against shrinking profits.

From a technical perspective, this week's price action has generally maintained a narrow range and the moving average system is converging,
indicating that the market is facing a directional choice. The pivot point between bulls and bears this week is at $4,660/oz. Currently, international gold prices are operating above this pivot, suggesting that the short-term trend is still slightly favorable to the bulls.

On the upside, resistance is around $4,820/oz. If international gold prices effectively break through this level, resistance will shift to around $4,924/oz. On the downside, if the price falls below the weekly pivot at $4,660/oz, the trend may shift from bullish to bearish during the week, at which point support should be watched near $4,555/oz. If international gold prices break below this level, support will move to around $4,396/oz.

Editor | Jiao Yang   Layout | Jiao Yang   Visuals | Zhang Zongwei 

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