Multiple positive factors resonate, the market is comprehensively repricing HYPE: from DEX leader to global on chain financial infrastructure

On May 21, 2026, the cryptocurrency market experienced a round of structural market differentiation, with Hyperliquid native token HYPE leading the way against the trend with a strong increase of 15.5% in 24 hours. The price remained stable at $57.72, setting a new high since October 2025. This round of rise is not a short-term emotional speculation, but a systematic repricing of the HYPE value system by the market.

Funds are completely rewriting the valuation logic of HYPE: it is no longer just a high-performance decentralized exchange (DEX) platform coin, but is rapidly iterating into a comprehensive on chain financial infrastructure covering encrypted derivatives, commodities, stock indices, and equity assets。The six core driving forces of real high agreement income, rigid repurchase buying, continuous hoarding of coins by top institutions, inflow of compliant ETF funds, upgrading of ecological strategy, and explosive narrative of RWA and tokenization have formed a positive flywheel, jointly promoting HYPE to break through the range oscillation and open up a new upward trend.

1、 Hardcore fundamentals: Billion level annualized revenue, rigid repurchase agreements build value floor

The most core and solid support for this round of HYPE market is its industry-leading profitability and transparent value distribution mechanism, which is completely different from the vast majority of cryptocurrency tokens that have no actual income and are purely narrative driven.

Data shows that the scale of the Hyperliquid ecosystem continues to explode, with the platform's RWA trading open contracts reaching a historic high of $2.6 billion on May 18th, doubling directly from two months ago. The market's demand for on chain real asset trading continues to explode. Relying on a huge trading volume, the platform's profitability remains at the top of the industry. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan estimates that Hyperliquid's annualized revenue remains stable in the range of $800 million to $1 billion. Based on the current cash flow repurchase valuation, its valuation multiple is only 10 to 14 times, which has a strong valuation advantage compared to traditional financial exchanges such as Robinhood and CME, and is severely undervalued by the market.

The income value is even more fragmented, leading the entire industry. According to Bitwise analyst data, Hyperliquid's total revenue so far this year has reached $255 million, surpassing the combined revenue of the industry's second and third largest protocols and accounting for one-third of the total revenue of the top ten encryption protocols. At present, the platform covers 43% of the on chain transaction fees on the entire network, with a weekly fee income of up to 11 million US dollars, significantly surpassing Ethereum's weekly revenue of 3 million US dollars (13% market share) and Solana's weekly revenue of 2 million US dollars (10% market share).

The most crucial thing is that Hyperliquid has established the most thorough value return mechanism in the encryption industry: 97% -99% of the platform's transaction fees will be automatically repurchased through the protocol to HYPE, and the entire process will be open, transparent, and automatically executed on the chain, without team manipulation or human intervention. According to Tokenomics statistics, during the 512 day period from December 2024 to May 2026, Hyperliquid generated a total revenue of $1.3 billion, with a net revenue of $1.2 billion entirely attributable to HYPE holders, resulting in a stable daily revenue of $2.5 million.

This closed loop of "increasing transaction volume → increasing transaction fees → continuously strengthening rigid repurchase buying" has enabled HYPE to completely break away from the speculative logic of traditional altcoins and platform coins, and become a financial infrastructure asset with real cash flow and continuous passive buying support. It is also the core confidence for institutions to dare to hold heavy positions in the long term.

2、 Institutions continue to hold heavy positions: a16z Whale locks up positions, with external top tier funds occupying a concentrated position

The continuous improvement of fundamentals has attracted top venture capital and whale capital to continue to increase their hoarding of coins, while the scarcity of HYPE liquidity and the continuous deflation of repurchase agreements allow a small amount of incremental funds to leverage a large market trend.

On May 18th, on chain data was disclosed that the top venture capital a16z associated wallet has been quietly attracting funds since April 14th, with a cumulative increase of 2.11 million HYPE holdings and a market value of approximately 90.87 million US dollars. Looking back at a longer period, a16z has been in a large-scale hoarding mode since August 2025, accumulating 9.18 million HYPE positions with an average opening price of $38.77. After deducting market making and exchange transfers, it still holds 8.844 million HYPE positions, scattered and stored in dozens of independent addresses, with a clear intention of long-term lock up.

At present, a16z has become the sixth largest holding entity of HYPE globally, and is also the largest external professional institutional investor outside of the top five ecological teams. In addition, a large number of whales have made precise low-level layouts: in early April, multiple large wallets concentrated around $40 to sweep goods, and strategic positions of millions of dollars were frequently established in a single transaction, which was not a short-term speculative transaction.

Compared to other encrypted assets, HYPE's scarcity is extremely prominent: limited circulation volume, concentrated team and ecological holdings, scarce external chips, and daily continuous repurchase agreements that consume circulation. The triple deflationary forces of institutions' continuous hoarding of coins, giant whales' long-term lock up, and rigid repurchase agreements resonate, and the market's tradable chips continue to shrink, providing strong chip structure support for the outbreak of the market.

3、 Compliance funds enter: Double ETF listing, traditional financial vitality continues to pour in

In May 2026, two compliant HYPE ETFs will be listed intensively, completely opening up the entry channel for traditional financial institutions and completing the identity transition from "on chain assets" to "compliant investable assets", completely reshaping the valuation system of HYPE.

On May 12th, 21 Shares officially launched the Nasdaq HYPE ETF (code THYP), providing spot exposure and staking returns for US compliant investors. On the first day of trading, the trading volume reached $1.8 million, with a net inflow of $1.2 million per day. On May 15th, the Bitwise BHYP ETF was heavily listed on the New York Stock Exchange, further expanding its capital entry. Unlike ordinary passive ETFs, Bitwise has launched an exclusive positive mechanism: 10% of the ETF management fee will be continuously used to repurchase HYPE in the secondary market and pledge to lock up positions, allowing the growth of ETF scale to be directly converted into long-term rigid buying of HYPE, forming a dual support with the platform's native repurchase mechanism.

The inflow of compliant funds continues to exceed expectations. Farside data shows that the inflow of HYPE spot ETF funds is accelerating day by day: net inflow of $4.4 million on Monday, $11 million on Tuesday, and skyrocketing to $25.5 million on Wednesday, with a cumulative net inflow exceeding $54 million in seven trading days.

The landing of ETFs marks the official inclusion of HYPE into the traditional financial investment system, no longer limited to the fund game within the cryptocurrency circle. The continuous entry of massive compliant incremental funds has become the core incremental driving force of this round of market trend.

4、 Ecological Strategy Upgrade: Joining Hands with Coinbase+USDC, Connecting Trillion level Revenue Channels

On May 14th, Hyperliquid announced a major ecological upgrade and officially launched the new AQAv2 framework, completely rewriting its stablecoin ecosystem and revenue structure, becoming a key catalyst for this round of price increases.

The agreement announces that Coinbase has become the official deployment party for the USDC vault on the platform, with Circle providing underlying technical support, completely ending the previous liquidity disconnect between USDH and USDC. Through this strategic adjustment, Hyperliquid has moderately given up its dominant position in its own stablecoin USDH, in exchange for a deep binding with the USDC and Coinbase ecosystems, opening up a new revenue path: the vast majority of interest income generated from USDC reserves will flow back to the Hyperliquid protocol, all of which will be used for HYPE repurchases, holder income dividends, and ecosystem construction.

According to industry estimates, relying on billions of USDC reserves, this mechanism can add hundreds of millions of passive returns to the agreement every year, with an average daily increase of hundreds of thousands of US dollars in diamond buying orders. This model has created a new paradigm of symbiosis between DeFi and CeFi, so that Hyperliquid's income source is no longer limited to transaction fees, and the new stable currency reserve income is a sustainable cash flow, further consolidating long-term value.

5、 Narrative explosion: asset tokenization opens up trillion dollar growth space

If income, repurchases, and institutional funds construct the value chassis of HYPE, then asset trading and global RWA tokenization have opened up unlimited growth imagination space for it.

Relying on the HIP-3 core upgrade, Hyperliquid has achieved permissionless deployment for global asset trading. Users can create a perpetual contract market by pledging 500000 HYPEs, completely breaking the boundaries of encrypted asset trading. On May 18th, the platform officially launched the SpaceX perpetual contract (SPCX), which allows trading of expected company listings without holding real equity. The first day of trading was explosive, giving Hyperliquid a competitive edge in the global tokenization race.

At present, the trading categories on the platform have fully broken through the realm of encryption, covering massive traditional financial assets such as crude oil, gold, silver, and the S&P 500 index. During the period of geopolitical conflicts and fluctuations, the platform's crude oil trading volume exceeded 5 billion US dollars within 72 hours, and the peak daily silver trading volume reached 4.67 billion US dollars. Traditional financial asset trading volume continued to explode.

Industry organizations generally believe that Hyperliquid has evolved from a cryptocurrency derivatives exchange to a comprehensive on chain super financial application covering stocks, commodities, stock indices, and encrypted assets. It is independent of the crypto cycle and has a dedicated traditional market incremental demand engine, with its growth ceiling infinitely raised.

6、 Industry consensus focuses on bullish views, opening up potential for valuation of billions

Under the resonance of multiple favorable factors, global institutions and communities have raised their valuation expectations for HYPE, and the industry consensus on bullish sentiment has been fully formed.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes bluntly stated that HYPE is getting closer and closer to a historical high, and the mid-term target of $150 is significantly approaching; According to institutions such as Bitwise and Bitrue Research, relying on the RWA boom and continuous inflow of ETF funds, HYPE is expected to impact the $55-65 range in the short term and grow into a top tier on chain financial infrastructure in the long term with a potential annual revenue of billions.

Syncrace Capital co-founder Daniel Cheung emphasized that the current market severely underestimates the potential of HYPE. At present, the circulating market value of HYPE is only about 13 billion US dollars, which is several times higher than the nearly 80 billion US dollars market value of top cryptocurrency exchanges and the multi billion dollar valuation of traditional financial giants. The community also provides a long-term prediction: if Hyperliquid continues to seize the market share of traditional derivatives, HYPE's long-term market value is expected to enter the trillion dollar tier, corresponding to a price space of $200 in the medium term and $1000 or more in the long term.

Conclusion: The repricing of HYPE is a paradigm level upgrade

The rise of HYPE in this round is not a short-term emotional speculation, but a thorough paradigm repricing in the market. Compared to other cryptocurrency assets that rely on cyclical narratives and have no substantial returns, HYPE has a clear and implementable growth logic: protocol billion level real annual revenue, rigid on chain repurchase deflation, sustained lock-in by top institutions, compliant ETF incremental funds, USDC perpetual cash flow, and RWA trillion track dividends, and six major advantages that build an unbreakable value flywheel.

As Hyperliquid continues to improve its on chain financial infrastructure and seize market share in traditional finance, HYPE's value mining has just begun. In the current volatile and differentiated cryptocurrency market, HYPE, which has real cash flow, sustained deflation, compliance funds support, and broad track space, will continue to enjoy valuation premiums and become the core leading asset in this round of market trends.