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Major Banks Set to Report Earnings Amid Rising Yield Environment, UBS Says

Major Banks Set to Report Earnings Amid Rising Yield Environment, UBS Says

02:15 PM EDT, 10/05/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Third-quarter earnings for major banks will unfold against a backdrop of rising Treasury yields, with earnings estimates of Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) sitting well below Wall Street's views, UBS Securities said in a note Monday. Earlier this month, the 10-year Treasury yield hit the highest level since April 2002, hitting as high as 5.24%. The 10-year yield is seen as a proxy for rates on mortgages and other loans. "A key theme we expect to hear discussed on earnings calls this quarter is, of course, the current rate environment, in which we have seen long-term treasury yields reach their highest levels in years," UBS analyst Erika Najarian said. Banks have underperformed the S&P 500 by 9.3% since the 10-year yield hit about 5%, according to the UBS note. History suggests that a climb in the 10-year rate above 5% tends to have a negative impact on market multiples. "We think investors will be sensitive to any management commentary on how longer-term rates impact business momentum," Najarian said. "In the medium term, we think any signal that long-term rates have reached their peak will be supportive of bank shares." A higher rate backdrop puts deposit costs back in focus, Najarian wrote. Last month, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in just over three years to combat sticky inflation. The central bank's so-called "dot plot" signaled that a further rate increase could happen later this year. The US big bank earnings season kicks off next week. UBS lowered its third-quarter earnings-per-share estimates for Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). It raised the outlook for Citigroup (C). Of the six banks, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Citigroup are likely to miss estimates, with Goldman and Morgan Stanley expected to see the biggest shortfall, according to the note. Bank of America and Wells Fargo are seen topping Wall Street's EPS views. UBS slashed Goldman's third-quarter

MT newswire•2026-10-05 18:15
BUZZ - Morgan Stanley upgrades rating on Wells Fargo to "Overweight", shares rise in response

BUZZ - Morgan Stanley upgrades rating on Wells Fargo to "Overweight", shares rise in response

On October 5, after Morgan Stanley upgraded Wells Fargo (WFC.N) from "Neutral" to "Overweight", the stock rose 0.9% to $81.14. The brokerage expects that as balance sheet growth slows and Wells Fargo makes greater use of low-cost funding, its net interest margin will stabilize, supporting net interest income growth. Morgan Stanley noted that rising interest rates will also provide additional support, as Wells Fargo is seen as the most interest-rate-sensitive among the money center banks. The company is scheduled to release its third-quarter earnings report on October 13. Of 26 brokerages, 18 rate the stock "Buy" or higher and 8 rate it "Hold"; the median target price is $100, according to LSEG data. Wells Fargo maintains a target price of $102. The stock currently trades at 10.28 times the expected earnings per share for the next 12 months, slightly below the industry median of 10.31 times. WFC has fallen 13% year to date, while the S&P 500 Bank Index has risen 0.3% .SPXBK. (For the convenience of non-English speakers, Reuters provides automated translations of its reports into several other languages. As automated translation may be inaccurate or lack necessary context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of the automated translation and provides it solely for reader convenience. Reuters accepts no liability for damages or losses caused by the use of automated translation services.)

路透社•2026-10-05 14:11
Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Down Pre-Bell Monday as Tech Stocks Normalize

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Down Pre-Bell Monday as Tech Stocks Normalize

09:18 AM EDT, 10/05/2026 (MT Newswires) -- The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.1%, and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) fell 0.2% in Monday's premarket activity, as technology stocks fell back after reaching record highs. US stock futures were down, with S&P 500 Index futures down 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipping 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures losing 0.3% before the start of regular trading. The nonmanufacturing data from S&P Global is expected at 9:45 am ET and ISM at 10:00 am ET. In premarket action, bitcoin was up by 1%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 2.1% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) advanced 1.7%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was flat. Power Play: Consumer The State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) was 0.2% higher, the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) increased by 0.7%, and the iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was inactive. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) lost 0.05%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was 0.4% higher. Tesla (TSLA) shares were down more than 0.4% pre-bell despite closing 4.7% higher at the previous close. Winners and Losers: Health Care The State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) retreated 0.3%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was 0.1% lower, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) slipped 0.6%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up 0.3%. Novo Nordisk (NVO) shares were down more than 1% premarket after the company said the US Food and Drug Administration's review of its biologics license application for denecimig to treat haemophilia A was extended due to ongoing facility remediation activities, with no new timeline provided for regulatory action. Financial The State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) advanced 0.3%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 0.6%,

MT newswire•2026-10-05 13:18

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What will the price of WFC be in 2027?

Based on WFC's historical price performance prediction model, the price of WFC is projected to reach $0.00 in 2027.

What will the price of WFC be in 2032?

In 2032, the WFC price is expected to change by +36.00%. By the end of 2032, the WFC price is projected to reach $0.00, with a cumulative ROI of 0.00%.
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