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According to Odaily, Sygnum Bank Chief Investment Officer Fabian Dori noted that prediction markets are rapidly evolving into a "real-time radar" for traders to monitor macro risks amid escalating conflict in Iran. Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have seen rapid repricing of betting odds on whether the US will escalate the conflict, and these odds have shown a direct correlation with Bitcoin's price movement. Prediction markets price in outcomes of "clearly defined events" with real money and provide more differentiated signals for crypto markets that are clearly driven by "binary events" such as regulation, geopolitics, and protocol upgrades. Data shows that in March, prediction markets recorded approximately 191 million transactions, a year-on-year increase of 2,838%, with monthly nominal trading volume rising to about $23.9 billion. Some professional trading teams have now incorporated prediction markets into their macro analysis frameworks, using them alongside metrics such as funding rates, options structures, and capital flows to develop trading strategies in advance of events. (A certain exchange)

Odaily reports that the latest analysis from QCP Capital points out that U.S. President Trump has again postponed taking action against Iran to Tuesday, marking the fourth delay. The market is gradually becoming immune to the repeated pattern of "tough statements + negotiation signals," with expectations for escalating risk cooling, oil prices weakening, and equity index futures remaining stable. In the crypto market, Bitcoin and Ethereum both surged above $69,000 and $2,140 respectively during Asian trading hours, triggering approximately $200 million in short liquidations in a relatively thin liquidity environment. Overall, despite ongoing geopolitical disturbances, price performance leans more towards stabilization rather than pressure. On the capital side, institutional funds continue to provide support, with Bitcoin ETF seeing a net inflow of about $1.32 billion in March. The current market is generally "risk-on," and investors have not sufficiently prepared for a near-term escalation of conflict. However, with the reopening of the US stock market, the sustainability of this rebound remains to be seen.

The agreement clearly stipulates that the transaction between both parties will take effect on April 6, 2026. This cooperation marks significant progress in the strategic deployment of the two companies within the key communications resources sector, and also lays a solid foundation for future upgrades to communication infrastructure in the energy industry.